The Edge of a New High: Artificial Intelligence and the Rewriting of Society
History doesn't repeat itself - but it rhymes. In The Fourth Turning, Neil Howe and William Strauss argued that Anglo-American society moves through recurring 80–100 year cycles, each divided into four "turnings": a High, an Awakening, an Unraveling, and a Crisis. We have lived through all four. We are living through the last one now. And what comes next may depend entirely on the choices we make today.
The COVID-19 pandemic was not simply a public health emergency. Through the lens of the Fourth Turning, it was a catalytic marker - the event that ended a long Unraveling and thrust civilization into Crisis. The fractures that followed - social movements, polarization, immigration battles, institutional collapse - were not aberrations. They were the turning in motion.
But if the thesis holds, Crisis is not the end. It is the forge. And the tool being heated inside it right now is artificial intelligence.
From Unraveling to Crisis: The World We Inherited
The Unraveling - roughly the decade following the 2008 financial collapse through 2020 - was a period defined by institutional distrust, political fragmentation, and cultural warfare. Each year deepened the divide. Social media poured accelerant on public discourse. The center did not hold.
Then COVID arrived. Lockdowns shuttered the social world. Supply chains unraveled. Economic tremors spread. And as societies were forced into isolation, something broke loose: a tidal wave of civil and social rights movements that had been building for years surged to the surface. Racial justice, gender rights, immigration policy - every fault line was exposed simultaneously.
Economic boom, institutional strength, cultural conformity. The American Dream consolidated.
Cultural revolution, civil rights, Vietnam, Watergate. Institutions challenged from within.
Rising polarization, culture wars, financial crises. Trust in institutions collapses.
Pandemic, social upheaval, immigration conflict, political fracture - and the seeds of a new High.
Economic strength, institutional rebuilding, renewed social cohesion - potentially catalyzed by AI.
Immigration policy - particularly the aggressive deployment of ICE enforcement under Donald Trump's administration - became a flashpoint in broader cultural struggles that are still unfolding. These battles are not peripheral. They are the Crisis expressing itself, clearing the ground for what comes next.
In every previous Fourth Turning, a period of Crisis preceded a generational High characterized by strong economic performance, institutional rebuilding, and renewed cultural coherence. The question is not whether the High will come - it is what shape we choose to give it.
The Pandemic's Psychological Rewiring
The pandemic did more than close restaurants and fill hospitals. It rewired human behavior at the neurological level - and the reverberations are still washing through our culture.
Isolation accelerated what was already underway. E-commerce, streaming, and gaming surged. Social life migrated from physical space to digital screens. For Millennials and Gen Z - generations whose formative years were already defined by digital immersion - this shift didn't feel like a crisis. It felt like home.
Human beings seek dopamine through reward-based experience. In the absence of in-person connection, the screen became the drug of choice - and the market was happy to supply it.
Biologically, this is significant. Dopamine release - the brain's reward signal - doesn't disappear when real-world social interaction declines. It migrates. Likes. Shares. One-click purchases. Rapid notifications. These became substitute reward loops, engineered by companies to exploit the very neurological need that community once fulfilled.
This was not merely behavioral adaptation. It was neurological reinforcement. And for two generations now entering the workforce, it has become the default relationship with reality.
The Generational Fracture
While Millennials were adapting to the digital world - and in many cases building it - a generational asymmetry quietly deepened.
Millennials now hold a significant share of managerial and ownership positions across industries. Their digital fluency has accelerated organizational adoption of AI-driven systems. Entire sectors pivoted toward automation, analytics, and cloud-based infrastructure - often because the people at the helm were already native to that landscape.
But Gen X and Baby Boomers found themselves in an increasingly alien world. Rapid technological turnover - systems redesigned before the previous version could be mastered - created accumulating cognitive strain. For many, the pace didn't feel like progress. It felt like being left behind by design.
Anxiety and digital incompetence rising among older generations
Cognitive engagement declining as overstimulation leads to withdrawal
Millennials approaching the life stage where aging parents require care
The result is a painful paradox: younger generations drowning in digital excess; older generations gasping in digital confusion. Both groups are suffering, for opposite reasons.
Meanwhile, Millennials are entering the life stage where parents age, health concerns mount, and the gravitational pull of family strengthens. The generational torch is passing. And with it, the opportunity - and necessity - to reorient around something more durable than a screen. This is where AI's deeper potential quietly enters the picture.
AI as Invisible Infrastructure
Most people currently experience artificial intelligence as a novelty: a chatbot that drafts emails, a tool that generates images, a search engine that speaks back. These applications, while useful, reveal only the surface of what is being built beneath.
Futurists like Zack Kass argue that the maturation of AI will produce a counterintuitive outcome: rather than deepening screen dependency, it will eventually reduce it.
Today, the internet sells to us. Tomorrow, AI will buy for us - and what it buys will be only what we actually need, when we actually need it. The scroll disappears. The impulse purchase disappears. The hijacked attention disappears.
Consider predictive purchasing systems powered by autonomous AI agents. Rather than browsing endlessly through algorithmic marketplaces designed to maximize your time on platform, AI anticipates needs based on behavioral patterns and historical preferences - and acts on them without requiring your attention.
The emerging "402 protocol" framework takes this further: enabling AI agents to coordinate pooled purchasing and shared access to goods and services. Think of it as the intelligent infrastructure beneath cooperative consumption - not the clunky app, but the invisible engine that makes sharing resources effortless and economical. You gain access to what you need. You stop spending on what you don't. Your phone becomes less necessary for transactions and more optional for connection.
If this shift occurs, the dopamine economy is disrupted at its source. Impulse purchasing declines. The neurological craving for reward doesn't vanish - it simply redirects back toward what it evolved for: real human interaction. Society, almost quietly, re-centers around people instead of products.
AI for the Generations Left Behind
The same intelligence that streamlines purchasing for Millennials could serve an entirely different function for Gen X and Baby Boomers: cognitive relief.
Consider what overwhelms older adults in the current digital environment: interfaces constantly redesigned, settings buried under layers of menus, security threats requiring technical literacy, customer service replaced by bots that can't understand plain language. Every interaction with technology demands effort and yields frustration.
AI, properly designed, inverts this. Conversational agents that understand plain speech. Health monitoring systems that detect decline before symptoms become crises. Financial tools that operate in the background without requiring constant supervision. The complexity stays hidden. The human stays in control.
Rather than being overwhelmed by technological complexity, older generations may discover that AI is the first technology ever designed to reduce complexity rather than compound it.
The downstream effects compound. Reduced cognitive stress improves mental health. Improved mental health frees bandwidth for family engagement. More family engagement produces the intergenerational connection that was severed by the pandemic and the screen economy.
If Millennials are simultaneously reprioritizing family - as their life stage demands - and AI is simultaneously reducing the burdens that prevent older generations from engaging, then the conditions for genuine social reconnection are being assembled quietly from two directions at once.
The Paradox of Less: How Spending Less Creates More
At first glance, this scenario looks like economic contraction. Consumers spending less. Advertising revenue declining. Entire industries built on manufactured demand struggling for relevance.
Look more carefully, and a different picture emerges. Today, companies spend enormous sums to capture and hold consumer attention - pay-per-click advertising, algorithmic promotion, behavioral targeting. Remove the attention economy and you remove the overhead that sustains it.
Ad spend on clicks and impressions declines
Corporate overhead shrinks as acquisition costs fall
Quality producers win as authentic value replaces manipulated demand
Companies that cannot adapt - those whose business model depends on exploiting attention rather than delivering value - will contract or fail. Companies making genuinely good products, finding their way to consumers who actually want them, will flourish.
The economy doesn't shrink. It cleans. GDP composition shifts from quantity to quality - from manufactured consumption to genuine value exchange.
The environmental implications follow naturally. A significant portion of low-quality imported goods exists purely to satisfy impulse purchasing. If that impulse is redirected, demand for that category collapses. Manufacturing contracts. Shipping contracts. Carbon emissions from global logistics chains contract. Domestic production gains ground. This is not an argument for austerity - it is an argument for efficiency.
The Turning Point Within the Turning
If the Fourth Turning thesis holds, Crisis is not the destination - it is the passage. Every previous Crisis in this cycle has preceded a High: a period of economic strength, institutional reconstruction, and renewed cultural coherence. The forge produces something.
Artificial intelligence could be the scaffolding of the next High. Not because it is magic, but because it is structural. Beneath the consumer-facing applications - the chatbots and image generators and copilots - AI is reorganizing labor, commerce, healthcare, and information flows at a depth most people haven't yet perceived.
The current applications may seem rudimentary. They are. But the infrastructure being laid is not. And its social architecture is still fluid. The decisions made in the next five years - about how AI is deployed, what values are embedded in it, whose interests it serves - will shape the character of the next three turnings.
We are conscious of the pattern while living inside it. That awareness gives us leverage.
If adoption is guided intentionally - toward time reclamation, cognitive relief, quality production, and genuine human connection - then AI will not merely be a technological upgrade. It will be the engine of the next High.
The shape of the next three turnings will be written not by algorithms alone, but by the values we choose to embed within them. The forge is hot. The question is what we decide to make.
Informed by The Fourth Turning by Neil Howe & William Strauss.
Written by Tim Obert
